Athletico Paranaense vs Grêmio

Athletico-PR welcome Grêmio to the Arena da Baixada on Matchday 14 of the Brasileirão, with plenty at stake for both clubs. Fifth-placed Athletico are pushing for the top four, while 11th-placed Grêmio need points to avoid drifting further adrift in a congested mid-table. The home side arrive in blistering form — five consecutive Serie A wins at home, including a 3-1 rout of Vitória. Colombian striker Kevin Viveros, the competition's leading scorer with eight goals, struck twice that night and has found the net in five straight home appearances. Grêmio carry a troubling away record (six defeats in their last ten road games) and arrive severely depleted: top scorer Carlos Vinicius (seven goals) is suspended, while winger Francis Amuzu and midfielder Mathias Villasanti are both ruled out through injury. With Grêmio's attack blunted by absences and Athletico-PR's home fortress showing no signs of cracking, the hosts look well-placed to extend their winning run. Our prediction: 2-1.