Progreso vs Nacional

Progreso host Nacional in a Group 5 clash of the Copa AUF Uruguay that already carries real weight. Progreso sit bottom of the section without a point from two rounds, while Nacional share top spot on four, both eyeing the group's prize of a Copa Libertadores 2027 berth for whoever eventually wins it. Nacional arrive with belief after edging River Plate 3-2, Tiziano Correa's brace and a Luciano González strike doing the damage, though they were held 2-2 by Juventud de Las Piedras domestically and currently sit second in their Intermedio group. Progreso have lost both cup outings so far, falling 1-0 to River Plate and 2-1 to Albion, and also sit 12th in the Clausura table; Matteo Copelotti remains their most reliable source of goals. History clearly favors the visitors, with Nacional winning nine of the last twelve meetings to Progreso's two, including a 3-1 win the last time these sides met. Our prediction: 1-2